Most of the BJP's pre-election promises for bolstering defence remain unfulfilled
The military has started 2017 with a fresh
slate on several fronts. The army and the air force both have new chiefs, an
opportunity for fresh ideas and approaches. There is hope that the military
could soon get its first tri-service commander, creating badly needed synergy
between the army, navy and air force. Across the border, Pakistan too has a new
army chief who seems less inclined to grandstand, and appears to understand
that tensions with India distract his military from more urgent priorities. Looking
further out, as a new US president, Donald Trump, outlines his policies towards
Russia and China, New Delhi will have to tack to new headwinds from that Great
Power triangle.
It might be useful, therefore, to start the
New Year by taking stock of where our 1.6 million strong military stands. After
completing over half its tenure in power, the avowedly nationalistic Bharatiya
Janata Party (BJP)-led government has made only limited headway in steering the
military to the sunlit uplands it had promised. In his election manifesto of
2014, then prime ministerial hopeful Narendra Modi had accused the United
Progressive Alliance (UPA) of “surrendering India’s interests” in seven major areas:
“Intrusions [by the Chinese] inside the LAC (Line of Actual Control), loss of
squadrons of combat aircraft by the air force, witnessing of a series of
accidents by the Navy, leading to a loss in its combating (sic) capability built
over many decades, communal riots, Maoist attacks, increase in incidence of
Pakistan backed terror groups in India, and illegal immigration across the
eastern border.” An honest appraisal would conclude that many of these remain
serious concerns.
The BJP manifesto had promised specific
measures to strengthen external defence. The important ones included: (a) Reforming
defence equipment procurement, support services and organisational functioning;
(b) Modernizing the armed forces by fast-tracking defence procurement; and
increasing research and development spending to develop indigenous
technologies; (c) Addressing manpower shortages (which actually exist only at
the officer level), including by making Short Service Commission more
attractive; (d) Ensuring the military plays a larger role in defence ministry
decision making; (e) Dealing firmly with cross-border terrorism, including by
improved border management; (f) Improving military justice, by reforming Armed
Forces Tribunals (AFT) and minimising government appeals against adverse court
verdicts.
Let us start with the positives. The
government has delivered on high-visibility, populist measures, like One Rank,
One Pension (OROP), and the sanction of a National War Memorial in New Delhi.
Both these were emotive demands, amplified through a vocal ex-servicemen
community. The grant of OROP has not satisfied everyone, but most veterans welcome
it. In contrast, the Seventh Central Pay Commission has angered serving and
retired soldiers sailors and airmen, and threatens to undo the political gains
of OROP. There is also frustration over insensitive government measures like
the slashing of disability pensions (now being reviewed), and the erosion of
military status compared to civilian officials. Consequently, the military
community, which had regarded the BJP as an ally, is now more conditional in
its support.
Other positives are Defence Minister
Manohar Parrikar’s admirable commitment to developing and building weapons and defence
equipment in country, and the open relationship he fosters with the private
industrialists, large and small, who intend to spearhead this. His predecessor,
AK Antony, was as committed to indigenisation, but was unwilling to sully his
spotless reputation by contacts with grubby capitalists. Mr Parrikar’s good
intentions should have translated into enabling policy frameworks, something
that he has repeatedly promised. However, his ministry officials are firmly
wedded to the status quo. Mr Parrikar, unable or unwilling to bring them in
line (is he being undermined from the Prime Minister’s Office?), has delivered
only half-hearted procurement and indigenisation reform.
The long-delayed Defence Procurement Policy
of 2016 (DPP-2016) has some innovation, such as the preferential procurement
category of “Indian Designed, Developed and Manufactured”, which would
distinguish truly “Made in India” equipment from kit that actually has a
foreign address to its intellectual property. Yet, DPP-2016 is by no means the crisp,
result-oriented handbook that Parrikar wanted to liberate procurement from
cumbersome, dead procedure. Instead DPP-2016, like its predecessors from 2005,
2006, 2008, 2009, 2011 and 2013, remains a weightlifter’s tool and a
bureaucrat’s delight, filled with opportunities for delaying the acquisition of
vitally needed equipment.
Instead of ramming through change like the
go-getter he is, Parrikar has tied his own hands by placing reform at the mercy
of numerous committees. First, the Dhirendra Singh Committee, headed by a
former government secretary, produced a 264-page report on defence procurement
reform, including Mr Modi’s slogan-of-the-moment, “Make in India”. Then, to
implement the Committee’s central recommendation on nominating private sector
“strategic partners” (SPs), who would be the automatic, go-to manufacturers in
their various fields (aircraft, helicopters, warships, armoured vehicles, etc),
the VK Aatre Task Force was set up. To this day, not a single SP has been created,
even as foreign aerospace vendors like Boeing and Saab wait bewildered,
wondering when they will know which Indian company would be nominated SP for
manufacturing aircraft in India. Instead, every project goes through a complex
tendering process that inevitably means years of delay.
Death by committee seems to be the fate of
other badly needed measures too. Overall defence reform has been farmed out to
the Lieutenant General Shekatkar Committee. Expect another voluminous report
that will gather dust. After jihadi militants
leap-frogged perimeter security in attacking the Pathankot Air Base on New Year
2016, Lieutenant General Philip Campose headed a task force to examine perimeter
defence in military encampments. Meanwhile another committee under former home
secretary Madhukar Gupta examined border management. It is not clear why! The
Indian Army knows well how to defend a perimeter, or seal a border. The problem
is lax implementation, something that requires stern enforcement, not a committee,
to correct.
Mr Parrikar must stop compiling reports and
start preparing action plans that are restricted to bullet points on a single
page. Most of the BJP’s manifesto promises --- manpower issues, military
justice reform, even indigenisation --- are inter-agency processes. Therefore,
the government as a collective must be committed to change, and the PMO to
enforce it. If this does not happen in the second half of the BJP’s term, the
party will have compromised its national security credentials, and severely damaged
Indian credibility as an emerging bulwark of Asian regional security.
whilst it is easy to make a report card and state the obvious it would also have been better if you had also analysed the steps forward and the reasons for the delays in many initiatives.
ReplyDeleteThe worst that has happened is not noted here since it is a 'soft' issue, not a hard fact. Am stunned to see many senior army officers complimenting the govt even on typical army issues. Heard the new Chief say, 'The govt is helping us analyze the reasons how terrorists attacked our bases and help us build defences against it (or words to that effect)'. This is purely the job of the army, not the govt. Why are senior officers so eager to please the govt? If I am right, then this is far worse than lack of guns and ammunition.
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