By Ajai Shukla
Business Standard, 30th Jan 17
In countries that face serious security
challenges --- as India does with a two-front conventional and nuclear threat,
a 7,500-kilometre coastline, and serious internal security issues --- the
levels of security the military and defence industry can deliver mostly hinges
on how much money the government allocates to defence.
However, with the defence budget due to be unveiled
on Wednesday, enhanced allocations feature on only a few wish lists of the defence
industrialists that Business Standard spoke to. Instead, most hope that the
defence ministry clears the policy, taxation and procedural logjams that stall
capital procurement.
This is unsurprising, given that the
defence ministry returns unspent money to the exchequer most years. This
invariably comes out of the capital budget, impacting equipment modernisation
programmes. The military has no problem spending its revenue budget each year, but
the bulk of that goes on salaries and pensions, and running the military, from
which the defence industry hardly benefits. Last year, the revenue budget constituted
three quarters of the total defence allocation of Rs 340,922 crore. In
contrast, the capital budget amounted only to Rs 85,453 crore.
An analysis by Business Standard revealed
that capital expenditure has remained static over the last four years. In
2013-14, the last year of the United Progressive Alliance government, the
capital expenditure of the army, navy, air force and Defence R&D
Organisation (DRDO) was Rs 79,128 crore. This rose only marginally in the three
National Democratic Alliance budgets to Rs 80,884 crore in 2014-15, Rs 80,780
crore in 2015-16, and Rs 85,453 crore in the current year.
Graphic: Defence allocations, extrapolated backwards with new calculation methodology
2013-14
(Actual)
|
2014-15
(Actual)
|
2015-16
(RE)
|
2016-17
(BE)
|
|
Ministry of
Defence (MoD)*
|
11706
|
15222
|
18989
|
29267#
|
Ordnance
Factories (OFB)
|
833
|
1577
|
1753
|
|
DRDO
(revenue)
|
5627
|
5775
|
6011
|
|
Army
(revenue)
|
85786
|
87677
|
90797
|
143869^
|
Navy
(revenue)
|
13034
|
13679
|
14635
|
|
IAF
(revenue)
|
19094
|
19741
|
20377
|
|
Pensions
|
45500
|
60450
|
60238
|
82333
|
Capital
Expenditure^^
|
79128
|
80884
|
80780
|
85453
|
Total
allocation
|
260708
|
285005
|
293580
|
340922
|
Total
government spending
|
1590434
|
1663673
|
1785391
|
1978060
|
Share of government spend
|
16.4%
|
17.1%
|
16.5%
|
17.2%
|
Total GDP
|
11320463
|
12488205
|
13567192
|
15065010
|
Share of GDP
|
2.29%
|
2.28%
|
2.16%
|
2.26%
|
* Includes
budget for Border Roads Organisation
# MoD,
OFB and DRDO allocations combined into one head w.e.f. 2016-17
^ Army,
navy and IAF revenue allocations combined w.e.f. 2016-17
^^ Includes
capital allocation for DRDO
It will become clear this week how much of
the current allocation has actually been spent. Military financial planners
complain bitterly that the finance ministry deliberately stalls procurements in
the fourth quarter of the year, so that surrendered money is available to dress
up its expenditure account.
Much of the modest rise in defence
allocations over the last three years has been in the revenue budget, and has
gone towards meeting the expense of “One Rank, One Pension”. Similarly, much of
the rise in the coming budget would go towards meeting higher salary costs
necessitated by the 7th Central Pay Commission.
For industry, the issues remain two-fold.
Firstly, how much rise there will be in the capital allocation; and, second,
how much of it will go to foreign vendors, the defence public sector
undertakings (DPSUs) and the Ordnance Factory Board (OFB). That will determine
what is left for private defence firms.
For example, the procurement of 36 Rafale
fighters, means that a hefty chunk of the capital budget would be required for instalments
on that purchase. In an average year, 85-90 per cent of the capital budget is
pre-committed to purchases of earlier years.
Defence Minister Manohar Parrikar, whose
promises tend to be well ahead of actual implementation, has publicly declared
that, in the last two-and-a-half years, his ministry has placed procurement orders
worth Rs 230,000 crore, more than 90 per cent of them in categories that would benefit
vendors in India.
Parrikar has also set an ambitious target
of exporting $2 billion worth of defence systems from India by 2019. This has
aroused scepticism within industry, since it would require a four-fold increase
in three years over current export levels.
A staple complaint of private industry is a
taxation regime that favours foreign vendors over Indian firms. In the last
budget, a time-bound schedule was announced for phasing out incentives on
R&D expenditure, something that most governments encourage. Separately, an
Indian offset partner is required to pay taxes on the work the company does in
India, forcing it to route supplies through his foreign partner.
There is also widespread resentment at the
government’s slothfulness in placing orders, even though private companies have
invested heavily in creating R&D and manufacturing capabilities in the
country. “A procurement that comes through in five years is regarded as
lightning quick. What are we expected to do with our capacities while the file
is processed at tortoise speed?” asks a CEO.
Small industry is worst affected, since
cash-flow is a problem for many. MSMEs are hoping for credits, or loans at low
rates of interest, which would enable them to remain competitive with foreign
defence industry that gets loans at 1-2 per cent interest.
=============
The word from industry
Jayant Patil
Larsen & Toubro
In the FY 2016-17 budget, a roadmap was announced for phasing out benefits on R&D expenses under section 35(2AB). Such benefits should not only be continued, but enhanced in order to stimulate R&D for the high-tech defence, nuclear and aerospace sectors.
Jamshyd Godrej
Godrej & Boyce
“It is very complex and cumbersome to execute projects with government organisations. A significant reduction in complexity is essential for the private sector to execute projects efficiently.”
Ashok Atluri
Zen Technologies
“Government should scrap taxes on equipment being sold to defence. Taxing defence amounts to paying tax with one hand and taking it back with other hand. This has a high transaction cost for the government, and causes untold misery to companies, which struggle to raise the working capital to pay the taxes.
Ashok Kanodia
Precision Electronics Ltd
"Many Indian defence companies have invested serious money into building capabilities, but procurement files remain pending for years, causing serious cash-flow problems particularly for small and medium companies. So let 2017-18 be the year when the procurement budget is fully spent, and the bulk of it on Indian industry."
Colonel HS Shankar (Retd)
Alpha Design Technologies
“MSMEs are the backbone of defence production. The government should create financial packages for them, of long duration, low interest credits; and also ensure quick disbursement”.
Whether it is building toiled in villages or building hi-tech weaponry, Indian bureaucrats are rotting the system everywhere.
ReplyDeleteI think it is not just budgeting process, but overall inertia that exists in MoD. Straight stuff like spares for equipment already bought get meshed in some file movement.
ReplyDeleteRaksha Mantri had to put his hand for Su-30 spares.
Maybe the whole civilian side of a MoD needs to be overhauled.
I doubt if there will be a major increase in defence budget. there is no point as it will lead to returning unused funds as we cannot close all major contracts in 1 fiscal year. in the last 2.5 years there are only 4 or 5 major contracts that have been closed so double digit hike is not going to happen. plus where is the money to spend??
ReplyDeleteAlso taxation changes will not happen as the MoD was too preoccupied with DPP and missing SP chapter. there will only be some cosmetic changes, thats all. The industry by now must have realistic expectations from the GoI and there are so many complex issues that only a few will get attention at any point of time. if they can implement recommendations of all committees then that will be a big achievement.