By Ajai
Shukla
Business Standard, 18th Sept 14
Current reports
from the border about Chinese incursions into Indian territory at Chumar and
Demchok have renewed speculation that the People’s Liberation Army (PLA) steps
up border tensions on the eve of important visits, such as the on-going state
visit of China’s president, Xi Jinping.
In fact, the
PLA has simply shifted strategy; say multiple army and civilian sources that closely
monitor border dynamics along the Line of Actual Control (LAC) between India
and China. Chinese authorities now routinely use inhabitants of the border
region to establish fresh claims, even as the PLA and border guards patrol up
to their traditional claim lines.
China’s
shock troops in this strategy are the Changpas --- the local name for residents
of Changthang, the high Tibetan plateau. Chinese authorities exhort these nomadic
graziers to move with their herds of yaks and ponies and encroach upon grazing
grounds on the Indian side of the LAC.
According
to ancient tradition, each grazier village enjoys territorial rights over certain
grazing grounds, which are asserted each year by moving their herd to that
pasture. By encroaching and using Indian grazing grounds, graziers from across
the LAC create a plausible claim to that pasture. Gradually, China would claim
that pasture; citing usage to claim that it belongs to a village on the Tibetan
side. Over time, the PLA can be expected to extend patrolling to those areas.
According
to numerous local accounts, Chinese troops are providing money, provisions,
moral support and even troop escorts to help graziers and settled villagers to
encroach on the Indian side of the undemarcated LAC.
Meanwhile Indian
authorities have largely left their border people to their fate, reluctant to
get involved even when local graziers report being beaten up by Chinese border
guards.
“In
disputed areas like around Demchok, Chinese soldiers have threatened our
locals, ordered them to leave the area and have even inflicted violence short
of opening fire,” says Siddiq Wahid, a Ladakhi himself, and a former Harvard
University professor who is now an activist in J&K.
Wahid
rightly points out that both sides have long used border villagers and nomads
to buttress their claims, but says the Chinese have now implemented this as policy
in Ladakh, as well as vulnerable areas of Arunachal Pradesh. With Indian’s
border inhabitants increasingly opting to shift away from the LAC, China is systematically
weakening India’s territorial claims.
The chief
minister of Arunachal Pradesh, Nabam Tuki, has described the gradual
depopulation of border areas as a “strategic problem”. Last year he warned that
border populations must be supported “to establish our territorial sovereignty”.
China’s
aggressive strategy is having a two-fold effect: besides weakening India’s
territorial claim, it is insidiously alienating Ladakhi and Arunachali locals,
who are wondering ever more loudly whether the government has the appetite to
support them, or has it left them at China’s mercy.
Tellingly,
there are no Sino-Indian agreements that cover border populations. In contrast,
military issues like patrolling and border violations are governed by a raft of
agreements --- starting from a 1993 Agreement on Peace and Tranquillity on the
LAC; through further agreements in 1996, 2005, 2012; to the most recent Border
Defence and Cooperation Agreement of 2013 --- which have succeeded in maintaining
relative peace on the LAC.
“New Delhi seems to have little appetite for confronting
Beijing on these matters. We have even diluted the terminology for Chinese
incursions; we now refer to them as transgressions”, points out Wahid.
Asked whether New Delhi would raise border issues like the
ongoing LAC confrontation during talks on Thursday with President Xi, India’s
foreign ministry spokesperson, Syed Akbaruddin responded, “Our brave sentinels
on the border will address any issue that happens on the border.”
India's tactics with China is inexplicable to say the least. With Pakistan both sides are trigger happy. With Srilanka we allow our defaulting fishermen to be captured and then released in shows of bonhomie. With China it is hilarious to watch soldiers from both sides squabbling on the border like village women near a well.Yes we may be militarily weaker than China but have no need to fear because the likelihood of a full scale war erupting is equally not a possibility till sanity prevails for the same reasons that we do not want a war with Pakistan though we are militarily much stronger than them. If China does not see eye to eye on this India should hit back both economically and diplomatically by banning Chinese goods,calling off talks etc. This will certainly hurt China much more.
ReplyDeleteBjp, congress and military are tough when comes to pakistan, but against china, very different story.
ReplyDeletepaki tactics... employed by... chini's now...
ReplyDelete"Tellingly, there are no Sino-Indian agreements that cover border populations"...
ReplyDeleteI think Ajai you are slightly wrong here...Though there are no specific agreements in respect to border populations, there is an agreement that says that final settlement of border dispute will take into account habituated areas and there cannot be any delienation of border areas which results in large scale migration of border population....
The Chinese,having in principle agreed to the same and having committed this diplomatic blunder on part of them(because they want Tawang) in 2005, now is pushing local population to cross over into Indian areas and settle so there, so that they can claim these areas as their own....