Ajai Shukla
Business Standard,
24th Oct 13
On the plus
side, there was an agreement to enhance cooperation on the border, a move
towards sharing more data on river waters, and greater Chinese concern for
India’s negative trade balance with China. But India also scuttled a visa
agreement, sought by businessmen on both sides, to convey displeasure over
Beijing’s continued refusal to grant regular visas to Indians living in Arunachal
Pradesh, which China claims.
In the
final balance, the Beijing visit of Indian Prime Minister Manmohan Singh made
clear that no single issue — not even the border — dominates the agenda between
the two Asian giants.
After
meeting China’s Premier Li Keqiang, Singh declared: “I believe my visit to
China has put our relations on a path of stable and fast growth.”
The
showpiece signing, the Border Defence Cooperation Agreement (BDCA),
incrementally adds to four earlier agreements signed over the past three decades
— the 1993 Agreement on Peace and Tranquillity on the Line of Actual Control
(LAC); the 1996 Agreement on Confidence-Building Measures on the LAC; the 2005
Modalities for the Implementation of Confidence Building Measures in the
Military Field; and the Working Mechanism for Consultation and Coordination on
India-China Border Affairs, signed last year.
The BDCA
reiterates many of the principles covered in earlier agreements, but
additionally formalises a five-layer mechanism for communication between the
two sides: First, flag meetings between border personnel on the LAC; second,
meetings between senior officers of China’s Military Regions and India’s Army
Commands; third, periodic meetings at the ministry level; fourth, meetings of
the Working Mechanism (set up last year) between diplomats handling Sino-India
relations; and fifth, the apex India-China Annual Defence Dialogue.
Implementing
real-time communications on the LAC, the BDCA provides for border meetings in
every sector, and for telephone links at various places along the LAC. There
will be “mutual consultations” to set up a hotline between the two military
headquarters. The Indian and Pakistani armies already have a hotline over which
the Directors General of Military Operations (DGMOs) speak every week.
“We decided
to encourage and institutionalise greater exchanges between the armed forces of
our two countries,” Singh said after the meeting.
Minimising
the risk of patrol clashes, the BDCA prohibits patrols from tailing (following)
opposing patrols. This has been traditionally done to ascertain that an
intruding patrol goes back into its own territory.
Interestingly,
in comments to the media on Wednesday, Singh spelt out a strategic framework
for Sino-Indian relations. His “strategic vision” was to “realise the full
promise of our partnership and maintain the friendliest of relations”.
The
“strategic benchmark” would be to maintain peace on the borders and “move
forward the negotiations towards a fair, reasonable and mutually acceptable
settlement to the India-China border question”.
And,
perhaps most significantly, the PM said that “strategic reassurance” would
dictate that “the relationships pursued by India and China with other countries
must not become a source of concern for each other”.
While New
Delhi links this to China’s “all-weather friendship” with Pakistan, Beijing
would link it with India’s growing partnership with the US.
Indicating
that contentious issues were placed on the table, the PM said he raised India’s
“interest in continued and expanded cooperation on trans-border rivers and
received reassurances from Premier Li.” He did not elaborate what assurances
were given. The agreement signed between the two ministries for water resources
agreed to provide India with hydrological information on flows in the
Brahmaputra (Chinese: Yaluzangbu; Tibetan: Yarlung Tsangpo) from May 15 to
October 15. So far, data have been provided from June 1 to October 15 each
year.
Singh also
tabled the issue of India’s adverse trade balance. “Premier Li was receptive to
my concern about the unsustainable trade imbalance between our two countries
and we have agreed to explore avenues to bridge this gap.”
“We are
taking forward the suggestion made by Premier Li in New Delhi for a Chinese
industrial park to act as a magnet for Chinese investment in India,” Singh
added.
India and
China aim to boost trade to $100 billion a year by 2015. Last year, trade was
$66 billion, marginally down from the previous year.
While Singh declared “when
India and China shake hands, the world takes notice”, China’s media was less
effusive. With the Russian and Mongolian prime ministers visiting Beijing along
with Singh, online English newspaper, Global Times, headlined these visits as,
“China receives three PMs”. The newspaper said China was “underlining an
emphasis on peripheral diplomacy in its overall diplomatic strategy against the
backdrop of the US pivot to the Asia-Pacific”.
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