By Ajai Shukla
Business Standard, 23rd Oct 13
It is never easy to read the Chinese tealeaves. On Tuesday,
as Prime Minister Manmohan Singh arrived in China from Moscow for a two-day
state visit, Beijing released a White Paper on Tibet that accuses “the 14th
Dalai Lama and his clique in exile” in India of conducting separatist
activities against China.
Dr Manmohan Singh’s visit to Beijing coincides with that of
Russian PM, Dimitry Medvedev, and the Mongolian PM, Norovyn Altankhuyag.
Last week, Indian officials who were setting up the visit
were talking up the hospitality that Beijing was extending to the PM, with
President Xi Jinping breaking protocol by inviting him for a meal. In addition,
the PM is invited to address the Party School of the Central Committee of the
Communist Party of China, a training ground for China’s rising stars.
Now China watchers are wondering whether the grouping of Dr
Singh’s visit with two others, and the release of the Tibet White Paper
constitute a slight.
Few in New Delhi have forgotten then Foreign Minister Atal
Bihari Vajpayee’s visit to China in 1979, which China marked with a surprise
military invasion of Vietnam. Mr Vajpayee cut short his visit and returned to
Delhi.
Noted China watcher, Professor Srikanth Kondapalli of the
Jawaharlal Nehru University says it is not unusual to have a crowd in Beijing’s
visitors’ room. “China receives about 150 heads of state every year, which is
almost one leader every alternate day. Besides, the Indian PM’s visit was
scheduled at relatively short notice. I would not read a slight into the
presence of others.”
On the timing of the White Paper on Tibet, there is
speculation that Beijing put that out in a hurry after a Spanish court agreed
on Oct 11, 2013 to hear charges of genocide against former Chinese president,
Hu Jintao, allegedly committed in 2008, after widespread protests on the 50th
anniversary of the uprisings in Kham and Amdo in 1958.
The Spanish judgment, which related to legal proceedings
initiated by Tibetan exile groups, came at a time when Hu Jintao’s official
immunity had expired, theoretically exposing him to extradition proceedings
when he travelled abroad.
China has strongly condemned the court judgment. And now the
Information Office of the State Council, China’s version of a cabinet, has
released the White Paper, entitled “Development and Progress of Tibet.” This marshals
a formidable array of development statistics to argue that Chinese rule has transformed
Tibet from a squalid and exploited backwater into a more progressive region of
China.
In this official Chinese narrative, Tibet’s deliverance from
exploitative Lama rule began in 1951 with the signing of the “Agreement on
Measures for the Peaceful Liberation of Tibet”, or the 17-Point Agreement. At
that time, with Tibet facing invasion by the People’s Liberation Army (PLA),
and India unwilling to provide assistance, Tibet’s rulers effectively
surrendered to China in exchange for autonomy and protection of their Tibetan
identity.
The White Paper sees a watershed in the 1959 uprising in
Tibet, and the Dalai Lama’s escape to India, which many consider a breaking
point in Sino-Indian relations. It says: “In that year the reactionary upper
ruling strata of Tibet failed in an armed rebellion to perpetuate feudal serfdom….
Meanwhile the people of all ethnic groups in Tibet launched a sweeping
democratic reform to overthrow Tibet's feudal serfdom system under theocracy
that had been in place for hundreds of years, ushering in a social reform that
was considered the most extensive, profound and progressive in Tibetan history.”
Since that time, says the White Paper without a tad of
irony, Tibet has progressed “From traditional agriculture and animal husbandry
to a modern market economy, from the integration of political and religious
powers to their separation, from autocracy to democracy, superstition to
science, and isolation to openness.”
The White Paper meticulously quantifies Tibet’s development.
“The Gross Regional Product (GRP) of Tibet rocketed from 129 million yuan in
1951 to 70.1 billion yuan in 2012, representing an annual growth of 8.5 percent
on average. The per capita GRP reached 22,900 yuan. Since 1994 Tibet has
realized double-digit growth for 19 consecutive years, with an annual growth rate
of 12.7 percent on average,” it notes.
One of the bitterest sources of Tibetan resentment has been
Beijing’s drive to end the freewheeling, pastoral lifestyle of herders and
graziers, forcibly resettling them into cinderblock communities that are intrusively
policed. The White Paper paints this as a development success.
“By the end of 2012, a total of 408,300 low-income houses
were built, providing housing to 88.7 percent of local households of farmers
and herdsmen. All farmers and herdsmen will have moved into safe modern houses
by the end of 2013. In 2012, the per capita floor space of farmers and herdsmen
was 28.77 sq m, and that of urban dwellers 36.14 sq m (sic),” says the
document.
The White Paper takes justifiable pride in Tibet’s new
infrastructure. “Some 90 percent and 99.7 percent of Tibetan townships now have
access to postal service and road network, respectively, and 94.2 percent of
administrative villages could be reached by road. A total of 1.93 million
farmers and herdsmen now have access to safe drinking water, and 150,000 rural
households are using clean biogas,” it says.
Contrasting with India’s laboured efforts to connect border
areas, the White Paper says: “In 2012 Tibet had 8,896 km of roads with
sub-high-grade surface or better, and the total length of road opened to
traffic reached 65,200 km. Every county and township now has access to road
transportation. Sixty-two counties are accessible by tarmac roads. In 2006 the
Qinghai-Tibet Railway began operation, introducing railway transportation into
Tibet for the first time in history. The construction of the railway line
connecting Lhasa and Shigatse will be completed in 2014.”
The Indian PM’s official meetings in Beijing commence on
Wednesday. A centerpiece of the visit is expected to be the signing of a Border
Defence and Cooperation Agreement (BDCA), which aims at defusing day-to-day
tensions on the border.
Dr Singh is receiving favourable press coverage, with Xinhua
crediting him with improving ties with China. The state-owned China Central Television
has referred to him as “the father of India’s economic reforms.”
On India's China policy, one can not ignore Arun Shourie's recent disclosures in book ( Self Deception) on how India's National Security Doctrine on China is gathering dust in the NSAs office for some 6-8 years now. That being so, let us not bother about China snubbing successive Indian PMs.
ReplyDeleteThe cover photo on Arun's book - Indian PM bowing deeply in front of an upright Chinese PM - says it all. We get what we deserve. The next Indian PM may not even be received at the airport.
What's in it for India? Everything seems to be in favor of China! Seems India is bending on its back to appease China! What exactly is our Foreign Policy vis-a-vis "enemy number 1"? This all is sending confusing signals to Indians and our allies! Congress and it's National Security Advisor is a "Fack-up" combination. Bumbling idiots I should say. Neither sound financial road-map, nor defence policy, nor effective foreign policy! What UPA has done in past 10 yrs is a national disaster. Maybe the leadership of congress needs to be exiled, they are a national disgrace.
ReplyDeleteconsider the white paper... its contends... stapled visa... nothing more... nothing less... goes around... comes around... what 14th... what subversion... don't see a thing... what... ???...
ReplyDeletePrepare for a battle but for three years give Chinese a chance to prove that they are friends. Let them start by not arming Pakistan, second by withdrawing 12 km from their current positions (India to respond in kind), third to not get over anxious over trade (Chinese trade is always one sided, their side), fourth to leave Gawadar port alone in Pakistani hands etc.
ReplyDelete